The headline of Dealroom’s companion page presents a striking pair of ratios: Kazakhstan accounts for 40% of the region’s startups and 80% of their total value. [D1] Calculated from these two proportions, the average value per company in the Kazakhstan cohort is roughly six times that of the cohort of other countries in the region. While this demonstrates an uneven distribution of value across the database, it cannot represent the reality of a typical company: the arithmetic mean can be heavily skewed upward by a handful of highly valued firms, obscuring the revenue, fundraising, and survival rates of the majority of enterprises.
Kaspi offers a useful example of this concentration among leading firms. Listed on Nasdaq, its operations span payments, a marketplace, and fintech, and it holds a majority stake in Turkish e-commerce platform Hepsiburada. [K1] It is a mature cross-border group with substantive operations rather than a mere paper valuation. Based on the valuation snapshot relayed by Pivot, Kaspi represents approximately 47% of the value attributed to Kazakhstan; even if it is excluded simultaneously from both Kazakhstan and the regional total, Kazakhstan still holds roughly 68% of the remainder. [P1] These secondary figures cannot be treated as verified, real-time market capitalizations. Under this working assumption, a single major firm is immensely significant, but it does not account for the entire lead, and the remaining value is not necessarily distributed evenly.
The impact of dominant platforms likewise cannot be determined directly from valuations. Concentrating payments, merchants, and consumers within a single network can reduce transaction friction, but it can also leave merchants increasingly dependent on platform algorithms, rules, and take rates. Major enterprises can develop talent and connect with investors, but they can also compete aggressively against emerging startups for skilled personnel. Determining which force dominates requires examining data on employee spin-offs, merchant operating costs, and the reinvestment of exit proceeds, rather than relying on market-cap rankings alone.
Another group of leading firms illustrates the ambiguity of geographic attribution. In January 2026, Higgsfield raised an additional $80 million in funding, followed by an August announcement that it had closed a $400 million Series B round at a $5.4 billion valuation; the company also stated that the United States is its largest market and that annualized revenue had reached $700 million. [H1][H2] Annualized revenue extrapolates the revenue run rate at a single point in time; it cannot be directly equated to ARR, nor can it be treated as recognized full-year revenue. The company’s announcement was issued from San Francisco, and Reuters’ search index similarly listed it as San Francisco-based. However, this information is insufficient to establish the geographic distribution of its overall R&D, payroll, tax contributions, and equity returns. [H2][H3]
Dealroom’s landing page applies a counting criterion of companies "founded or headquartered in" the eight countries of the region. [D2] While this scope is useful for tracing connections between regional ecosystems and global venture networks, it cannot independently show how much capital actually lands in domestic bank accounts, nor how much accrues locally as wages, R&D procurement, or tax revenue. Overseas success can open access to knowledge and capital networks, or it can remain largely disconnected from the domestic economy. Distinguishing between the two requires examining concrete operational links rather than making assumptions based on corporate location tags.
Large funding rounds are especially likely to distort perceptions of aggregate totals. Higgsfield’s two new financing tranches totaled $480 million, matching Pivot’s reporting. [H1][H2][P1] If the $692 million in year-to-date venture funding tracked by Dealroom had incorporated both of these tranches in full at that time, a single enterprise would account for roughly 69%, leaving $212 million in other recorded funding. [D2] This is a conditional calculation designed to illustrate concentration, not a verified database breakdown; furthermore, the remainder cannot automatically be construed as local early-stage venture funding. For ordinary businesses seeking capital, the more pertinent questions are: what stages do investors typically back, how many first-time checks are written, what is the typical check size, and can companies secure follow-on support? The available materials cannot answer these questions.
Differences in reporting methodologies also shape assessments of market size. The RISE report tallies 2024 venture funding across four Central Asian nations at approximately $95 million, with Kazakhstan representing around $71 million; under that same methodology, Kazakhstan’s figure declined roughly 11% compared to $80 million in 2023. However, if one excludes Solva’s $20 million funding round in 2023 solely to observe the impact of unusually large deals, the adjusted comparison yields an increase of approximately 18%. [R1] These two findings are not contradictory: the former represents the raw year-over-year comparison, while the latter demonstrates the sensitivity of the comparison to a single large transaction.
Rules related to this news
RISE applies strict filtering criteria regarding foreign entities and transaction structures, explicitly excluding one of Uzum’s financing rounds after concluding that its scale, structure, and maturity more closely resembled private equity; furthermore, the total Uzum financing disclosed in the report included debt instruments, which should not be conflated with the report’s venture capital (VC) totals. [R1][R2] Consequently, RISE’s four-country dataset cannot be spliced onto Dealroom’s eight-country dataset to construct a seamless growth curve. Categorization determines both what a leaderboard includes and what it leaves out.
Beyond ranking tables, service exports constitute an industry in their own right. Policy materials from Uzbekistan’s IT Park emphasize exports, outsourcing, and streamlined cross-border payment mechanisms; research from Armenia similarly demonstrates that services comprise the overwhelming majority of IT exports. [U1][A1] GET estimates Armenia’s 2024 IT exports at roughly $2 billion, with growth effectively flat; this represents an adjusted research estimate rather than raw balance-of-payments figures from the central bank. Prior rapid growth may have been linked to the influx of Russian IT talent, meaning that growth during this extraordinary period cannot be projected directly into the future, nor does a slowdown imply that service firms lack technological capabilities. [A1]
For those preparing to enter these markets, macroeconomic leaderboards can offer initial clues, but operational decisions must ultimately be grounded in customers’ actual payments. Whether addressing merchant payment and inventory reconciliation, multilingual product cataloging, enterprise IT delivery, or specialized content production, founders can formulate business hypotheses; whether actual demand exists must be validated through customer interviews and small-scale paid pilots. Well before focusing on valuations, founders need to calculate post-delivery gross margins, receivables collection cycles, renewal rates, and their degree of dependency on a single platform or key client.
A single company can simultaneously have regional roots, a global client base, and a cross-border workforce. Acknowledging these connections makes it possible to recognize the achievements of major corporations without losing sight of the fact that their broader impact on local employment and small-business income remains unproven. Over the long term, it is worth monitoring whether more enterprises can find paying customers and build stable, sustainable businesses.
Reference URLs
- [D1] Dealroom: Regional Country Shares
- [D2] Dealroom: Caucasus and Central Asia
- [P1] Pivot: Relayed Regional Startup Valuations
- [H1] TechCrunch: Higgsfield Extends Series A
- [H2] Higgsfield: Series B Financing Announcement
- [H3] Reuters: Higgsfield Funding Report Index
- [K1] Kaspi: FY2025 Financial Announcement
- [K2] Astana Hub: Registration & FAQ
- [R1][R2] RISE et al.: Venture Capital in Central Asia Report
- [U1] IT Park: Enterprise Support Policies
- [U3] EY: IT Park Tax Incentives Analysis Index
- [A1] German Economic Team: IT Sector Monitor Armenia
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*Editorial Note*: Data from Dealroom and Pivot were accessed solely through search-index excerpts; their full article texts, PDF releases, and database methodologies were not obtained, and the figures have not been verified in real time. The degree of verifiability varies across sources; this note does not imply that all PDF reports in the analysis were unavailable. Corporate valuation or enterprise value should not be conflated with venture capital (VC) funding volumes or national GDP figures. The cover image is an AI-generated conceptual illustration, not an authentic photograph or depiction of an actual event.
Key facts
- Dealroom data show that Kazakhstan accounts for 40% of the region's startup companies by number and 80% by value.
- Kaspi is already listed on Nasdaq, with businesses spanning payments, its marketplace, and financial services, and it holds a majority stake in Hepsiburada.
- According to RISE, VC funding in the four Central Asian countries totaled approximately $95 million in 2024, of which Kazakhstan accounted for about $71 million.
- On the same basis, VC funding in Kazakhstan fell by about 11% from $80 million in 2023.
- Higgsfield's two new funding rounds, totaling $480 million, are consistent with Pivot's account.
- Assessing the Central Asian startup market requires attention to customer payments, local jobs and revenue retention, and the ability of companies to continue operating.
FAQ
What are Kazakhstan's shares of the region's startup companies by number and by value?
The accompanying Dealroom page shows that Kazakhstan accounts for 40% of the region's startup companies by number and 80% by value. Based on these two ratios, the average value per company in the Kazakhstan cohort is approximately six times that of the group of other countries in the region.
Do high valuations accurately reflect the financing environment for ordinary companies in Kazakhstan?
Looking at high valuations alone is not enough to draw a conclusion. The average may be inflated by a small number of highly valued companies, and valuation share does not reflect the revenue, financing, and survival conditions of the majority of companies.
Why do a year-over-year decline and adjusted growth coexist in the RISE report?
On the original basis, VC funding in Kazakhstan in 2024 was approximately $71 million, down about 11% from $80 million in 2023. If Solva's $20 million funding round in 2023 is excluded, the adjusted comparison shows growth of approximately 18%.
Can RISE and Dealroom startup funding data be directly compared?
The two cover different scopes and apply different classifications. Dealroom uses a regional eight-country basis, while RISE covers the four Central Asian countries, applies screening criteria, and additionally excludes one funding round for Uzum; the two therefore should not be spliced directly into a growth curve.
Which operating metrics should be checked when entering the Central Asian market?
One should return to the customer ledger to test paying demand, and focus on gross margin, cash collection cycles, renewals, and dependence on a single platform or major client. On the financing side, investors also need to understand investment stages, the number of first-time funding rounds, typical check sizes, and follow-on support.
